ThreeSixty Research Market Update June 2014

I’m pleased to enclose the June 2014 edition of Market Update, see article below for full report.

We’ve continued to see a stabilisation in growth across the US and China, while the Asian region’s Q1 GDP results were mixed.

The recent deceleration in US growth is not a surprise, after the harsh winter. On a positive note, the US saw the labour market continue to improve, with April reporting a large fall in the unemployment rate as well as improvements with other labour market indicators.

In Europe, the Purchasing Managers’ Index data shows the Eurozone is continuing to grow in 2014, after Q4 2013 GDP increased 0.3% from 0.1% in Q3 2013.

Over in China, production levels have risen slightly above the recent lows in February. However, output remains comparatively soft. NAB forecasts for Chinese economic growth are unchanged at 7.3% in 2014.

Back at home, consumer sentiment has plummeted in response to the Federal Government 13 May Budget, and there are a number of likely implications for businesses. According to NAB, cutting the company tax rate from 30% to 28.5% will benefit a considerable number of businesses.

Kind regards

Sharie

ThreeSixty Research Market Update June 2014

Highlights:

  • US GDP growth paused in the March quarter, but indicators point to a strong bounce back in the June quarter.

  • NAB has changed its interest rate call and now expects that we’re at the bottom of the interest rate cycle.

  • Partial economic indicators continue to highlight softening trends in China.


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